Newry City vs Tobermore United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CLI
2 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
WAR
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
DOL
1 - 3
NEW
35%
24%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
LAR
3 - 0
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
NEW
3 - 2
GLE
21%
20%
59%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TOB
2 - 4
BAN
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
TOB
3 - 0
ARC
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TOB
1 - 0
LIM
37%
24%
40%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ARC
2 - 0
TOB
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -3 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LIM
2 - 0
TOB
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |