Newry City vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 0
NEW
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 2
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
COL
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
POR
5 - 0
BAL
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
POR
0 - 4
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
KNO
2 - 2
POR
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |