Newry City vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
57.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
68
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 3
NEW
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
LAR
17%
25%
59%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
NEW
24%
23%
52%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
4 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 4
LAR
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 2
GLE
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 3
GLE
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
LIN
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
20%
21%
60%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |