Newport Pagnell Town FC vs Long Buckby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport Pagnell Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BUG
0 - 3
NEW
11%
16%
73%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
HIS
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
GOD
1 - 4
NEW
14%
18%
69%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
COV
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 5
NEW
54%
21%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Long Buckby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DES
2 - 1
LON
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LON
0 - 0
COV
15%
18%
67%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MKI
2 - 1
LON
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
RUG
8 - 0
LON
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
OAD
4 - 1
LON
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |