Newport Pagnell Town FC vs Flackwell Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport Pagnell Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
6 - 2
CHE
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GOD
2 - 0
NEW
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 3
MKD
9%
17%
74%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
KEM
4 - 1
NEW
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 3
KEM
31%
22%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Flackwell Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
OXH
0 - 4
FLA
12%
16%
73%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 2
NOR
61%
18%
21%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
DID
40%
21%
39%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
5 - 0
BUR
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 1
FLA
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |