Newport Isle of Wight FC vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport Isle of Wight FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 0
NEW
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 4
MIL
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 0
NEW
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 1
ABI
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
PAU
2 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
6 - 0
OXF
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
AND
0 - 0
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 2
BAS
35%
25%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
HAN
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 1
UXB
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |