Newport County vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ROC
3 - 0
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 3
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BCF
0 - 0
NEW
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
GUL
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EXE
0 - 2
NEW
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
YOR
0 - 3
ROT
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GUL
0 - 3
YOR
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
YOR
4 - 2
OPA
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
WYC
1 - 1
YOR
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
YOR
1 - 2
MAN
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |