Newport County vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAN
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 3
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 0
NEW
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
NEW
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAR
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 1
POR
40%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 0
TRA
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 0
TRA
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 0
SWI
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRA
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |