Newport County vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 4
NEW
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 3
SOU
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 0
NEW
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAR
52%
24%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TAM
4 - 0
LIN
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 1
TAM
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 1
TAM
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 1
STO
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |