Newport County vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 2
NEW
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 0
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
STE
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 3
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 0
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CRE
0 - 3
SWI
42%
23%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 3
SWI
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 3
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 2
SWI
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |