Newport County vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
EXE
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
SOU
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
GRI
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 1
NEW
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
OLD
3 - 2
NEW
31%
26%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 3
OLD
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 2
FOR
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
CHE
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LEY
0 - 1
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |