Newport County vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 0
NOT
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 0
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
TOT
2 - 0
NEW
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
COL
2 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 0
CRA
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
STE
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 1
COV
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
EXE
2 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |