Newport County vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 0
SCU
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
CRA
39%
29%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAM
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 0
CUM
46%
28%
27%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 1
CUM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
COL
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
STE
0 - 1
CHE
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 0
CHE
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
LEY
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |