Newport County vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STA
3 - 0
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
CHE
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
YEO
2 - 0
NEW
10%
18%
72%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BRI
8 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 0
NEW
7%
17%
76%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
LEY
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
ABE
31%
24%
44%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 2
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WEA
0 - 5
CHA
13%
18%
69%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
GIL
1 - 3
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |