Newport County vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAM
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 1
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
STA
1 - 1
NEW
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
POR
46%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
GIL
1 - 1
CUM
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 1
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
LUT
3 - 0
CUM
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
GRI
0 - 1
CUM
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CUM
4 - 0
YEO
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |