Newmarket vs The Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newmarket
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
PIN
4 - 1
NEW
30%
22%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 4
TLA
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
STO
3 - 4
NEW
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
5 - 2
ACA
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 2
MGH
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GAP
0 - 2
GEO
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WES
3 - 2
GAP
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GAP
3 - 1
STO
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
GAP
2 - 6
TOO
13%
17%
71%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
GAP
1 - 4
PIN
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |