Newmarket vs Pine Hills analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newmarket
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 2
NEW
21%
19%
61%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAY
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MGH
1 - 1
NEW
8%
13%
80%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 1
ACA
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RED
4 - 1
NEW
4%
10%
86%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | -3 |
Matches
Pine Hills
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 2
NPI
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 3
PIN
4%
9%
87%
|
27 | 6 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
PIN
0 - 1
BAY
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
4 - 0
PIN
23%
20%
58%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PIN
6 - 1
MGH
82%
12%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |