Newmarket vs Mount Gravatt Hawks SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newmarket
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
3 - 2
NEW
8%
13%
79%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 6
GAP
67%
18%
16%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 1
WES
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
4 - 0
MGH
92%
6%
2%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MGH
0 - 3
TLA
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BRK
1 - 3
MGH
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MGH
3 - 1
ACA
52%
22%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |