Newington Youth vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
11º
11º
34
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newington Youth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEY
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEY
4 - 1
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
NEY
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NEY
5 - 0
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
DOL
2 - 3
NEY
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
INS
1 - 2
AUN
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
INS
0 - 2
DER
10%
18%
72%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
INS
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
INS
2 - 1
KNO
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |