Newhaven vs Corinthian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIN
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 6 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
WHI
3 - 1
NEW
32%
22%
47%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 2
NEW
11%
15%
74%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 2
PAG
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ABR
0 - 4
NEW
15%
17%
69%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
COR
2 - 1
SHE
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
COR
0 - 3
STA
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
HOR
5 - 0
COR
53%
20%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
HOR
37%
21%
42%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 1
COR
39%
21%
39%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |