Newell's Old Boys vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
NOB
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
NOB
1 - 0
ARG
37%
29%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
TAL
0 - 1
NOB
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 0
SLO
45%
28%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 2
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
PAT
3 - 1
IND
23%
27%
51%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 1
COL
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SAR
3 - 1
PAT
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 0
ALD
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
GLP
2 - 0
PAT
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |