Newell's Old Boys vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 3
NOB
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
NOB
2 - 2
HUR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ATT
2 - 2
NOB
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
NOB
0 - 0
CAU
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DYJ
4 - 0
NOB
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
4 - 1
GLP
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 2
LAN
16%
21%
63%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 0
ALD
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
LAN
4 - 2
PAT
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
HUR
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |