Newell's Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
NOB
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 0
RAC
28%
26%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
NOB
31%
28%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
NOB
2 - 2
PAT
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
NOB
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
DYJ
2 - 1
IND
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 0
DYJ
20%
24%
56%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
DYJ
3 - 2
ALD
64%
21%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ARG
0 - 1
DYJ
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
GLP
1 - 0
DYJ
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |