Newell's Old Boys vs Chacarita Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
NOB
1 - 1
SLO
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GLP
0 - 0
NOB
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
NOB
2 - 0
GOD
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
ARS
3 - 0
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
NOB
2 - 0
CAU
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
IRV
44%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 2
CHA
37%
27%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
CHA
20%
28%
52%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
RSA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
INS
2 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |