Newell's Old Boys vs Chacarita Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
SLO
2 - 1
NOB
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
NOB
2 - 1
AND
78%
16%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
NOB
1 - 0
TAL
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
IND
2 - 2
NOB
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
NOB
0 - 0
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
CHA
0 - 1
GLP
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
CAU
3 - 0
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
ARG
0 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
CHA
2 - 1
BOC
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
CHA
0 - 3
EST
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |