Copa Libertadores . Last 16
Global 2-2
Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 3
NOB
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NOB
3 - 1
TIG
43%
28%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 1
NOB
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NOB
1 - 2
COL
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
NOB
3 - 1
LAR
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 3
NOB
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 0
VEL
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
VEL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
EME
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
SLO
61%
24%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |