Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 0
NOB
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
RAC
3 - 1
NOB
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
NOB
0 - 1
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
NOB
3 - 1
CCS
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NOB
2 - 0
SPE
84%
13%
3%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 2
GLP
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOC
24%
25%
50%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOC
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ARG
2 - 2
BOC
21%
26%
53%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
BOC
0 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |