Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
WIM
1 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
MON
3 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
NEW
4 - 0
COV
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1997 |
LIV
4 - 3
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
NEW
0 - 1
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
SUN
1 - 1
NTT
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
CHL
6 - 2
SUN
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
SHW
2 - 1
SUN
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
SUN
2 - 1
MUD
12%
21%
67%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
SUN
0 - 4
TOT
27%
26%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |