Newcastle vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
CRY
36%
26%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 2
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
LEE
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
MUD
9 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 1
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 3
ARS
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
ARS
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
STF
80%
15%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |