Newcastle vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MUD
0 - 1
NEW
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
SWA
3 - 0
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
WBA
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TOT
0 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAC
14%
22%
65%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 3
ASV
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CHL
3 - 1
SOU
81%
13%
7%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 0
SOU
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
4 - 1
HUL
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |