Newcastle vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ALH
0 - 5
NEW
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
20%
24%
57%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
CRY
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 4
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 0
ASV
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RSO
1 - 1
RAY
62%
22%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 1
RAY
54%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
FEN
3 - 1
RAY
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 3
RAY
5%
16%
80%
|
81 | 22 | 59 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
RAY
0 - 0
CEL
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |