Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
76.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 4
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 2
ARS
19%
23%
59%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 2
WHU
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 2
NEW
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 0
PSG
64%
19%
18%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CRY
0 - 2
MAC
6%
16%
78%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PSG
1 - 2
MAC
24%
23%
53%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOT
70%
17%
13%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |