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Premier League. Matchday 36

Newcastle Man. City
72 ELO 98
-10% Tilt 18%
182º General ELO ranking
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12.1%
Newcastle
17.5%
Draw
70.5%
Man. City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
Newcastle
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
70.5%
Win probability
Man. City
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Newcastle
-4%
-4%
Man. City

Points and table prediction

Newcastle
Their league position
Man. City
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
17º
17º
71
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City
71
84
97%
Man. Utd
63
78
93%
Leicester
56
68
27%
West Ham
55
66
20%
Chelsea
54
66
21%
Liverpool
52
66
24%
Everton
48
57
19%
Tottenham Hotspur
46
58
35%
Arsenal
45
58
15%
Leeds United
10º
45
55
10º
20%
Aston Villa
11º
44
54
11º
18%
Wolves
12º
38
45
12º
24%
Crystal Palace
13º
38
45
14º
17%
Southampton
14º
36
45
13º
17%
Brighton & Hove Albion
15º
33
40
15º
18%
Burnley
16º
33
40
16º
19%
Newcastle
17º
32
38
17º
27%
Fulham
18º
26
30
18º
52%
West Bromwich Albion
19º
24
29
19º
51%
Sheffield United
20º
14
18
20º
99%
Expected probabilities
Newcastle
Man. City
Champion
0% 97%
Champions League
0% 3%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
82% 0%
Relegation
18% 0%

ELO progression

Man. City
MAC
Newcastle
NEW
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Sheffield United
SHE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle
1%
X%
2%
ELO NEW ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2021
BUR
Burnley
1 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
53%
25%
22%
1999 2073 74 +15
04 Apr. 2021
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
30%
26%
44%
1991 3036 -1045 +7
20 Mar. 2021
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
47%
27%
26%
2012 1951 -61 -21
12 Mar. 2021
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
46%
27%
27%
2012 2155 -143 0
07 Mar. 2021
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
0 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
45%
27%
28%
2012 1856 -156 0

Matches

Man. City
Man. City
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 2
Man. City
MAC
33%
28%
39%
3829 3064 -765 +21
10 Apr. 2021
MAC
Man. City
1 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
80%
13%
7%
3843 1938 1905 -24
06 Apr. 2021
MAC
Man. City
2 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
72%
18%
11%
3834 3053 781 +14
03 Apr. 2021
LEI
Leicester
0 - 2
Man. City
MAC
30%
26%
44%
3821 2749 -1072 +8
20 Mar. 2021
EVE
Everton
0 - 2
Man. City
MAC
21%
24%
55%
3815 2449 -1366 +8