Newcastle vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
EVE
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
MUD
4 - 1
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CRY
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
WHU
1 - 2
LEI
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
LEI
0 - 4
LIV
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 1
LEI
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
EVE
2 - 2
LEI
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LEI
1 - 1
NOR
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |