Premier League . Jor. 20

Newcastle vs Fulham analysis

Newcastle Fulham
87 ELO 84
-11.8% Tilt -0.9%
23º General ELO ranking 66º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
50.4%
Newcastle
24.8%
Draw
24.8%
Fulham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
Newcastle
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.8%
Win probability
Fulham
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Newcastle
-6%
+7%
Fulham

Points and table prediction

Newcastle
Their league position
Fulham
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
12º
52
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Manchester City
89
89
100%
Arsenal
84
84
100%
Manchester United
75
75
100%
Newcastle
71
71
100%
Liverpool
67
67
100%
Brighton & Hove Albion
62
62
100%
Aston Villa
61
61
100%
Tottenham Hotspur
60
60
100%
Brentford
59
59
100%
Fulham
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Crystal Palace
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Chelsea
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Wolves
13º
41
41
13º
100%
West Ham
14º
40
40
14º
100%
AFC Bournemouth
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Nottingham Forest
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Everton
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Leicester
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Leeds United
19º
31
31
19º
100%
Southampton
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Newcastle
Fulham
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Newcastle
Fulham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2023
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 0
Leicester
LEI
35%
24%
41%
87 87 0 0
07 Jan. 2023
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
2 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
17%
23%
61%
87 73 14 0
03 Jan. 2023
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
68%
19%
13%
87 92 5 0
31 Dec. 2022
NEW
Newcastle
0 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
53%
24%
24%
87 83 4 0
26 Dec. 2022
LEI
Leicester
0 - 3
Newcastle
NEW
46%
25%
29%
87 88 1 0

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2023
FUL
Fulham
2 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
19%
23%
58%
84 92 8 0
07 Jan. 2023
HUL
Hull City
0 - 2
Fulham
FUL
19%
23%
57%
83 68 15 +1
03 Jan. 2023
LEI
Leicester
0 - 1
Fulham
FUL
55%
23%
21%
83 87 4 0
31 Dec. 2022
FUL
Fulham
2 - 1
Southampton
SOU
42%
24%
33%
83 84 1 0
26 Dec. 2022
CRY
Crystal Palace
0 - 3
Fulham
FUL
53%
24%
23%
82 86 4 +1
X