Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
Newcastle vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
COV
2 - 1
NEW
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1968 |
NEW
1 - 1
NTT
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
NEW
0 - 0
EVE
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1968 |
NEW
3 - 2
CHL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
FEY
2 - 0
AZA
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
PSV
0 - 3
FEY
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
FEY
3 - 0
DWS
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
MVV
2 - 3
FEY
20%
26%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
PSV
1 - 0
FEY
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |