Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 0
NEW
47%
24%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 1
EVE
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
WOL
1 - 1
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 4
MUD
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CHL
4 - 1
SHE
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
CHL
3 - 0
REN
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 3
CHL
14%
19%
67%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
KRA
0 - 4
CHL
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MUD
0 - 0
CHL
39%
24%
37%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |