Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
ASV
1 - 2
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 2
REA
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 0
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
BHA
2 - 0
NEW
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 2
EVE
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
REA
2 - 2
CHL
18%
22%
61%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 2
CHL
10%
18%
72%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SWA
0 - 0
CHL
20%
23%
57%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CHL
2 - 2
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |