Newcastle vs Girondins Bordeaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
REA
2 - 2
NEW
30%
26%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
MUD
2 - 1
NEW
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
NOR
66%
19%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
NEW
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 2
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LYO
0 - 2
GIR
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 2
AJA
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
4 - 0
BRU
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
GIR
28%
26%
47%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 1
NIC
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |