FA Cup . 1/32
Global 5-3
Newcastle vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 2
MUD
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 1
NEW
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
LIV
4 - 0
NEW
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 0
FUL
59%
22%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 1
NEW
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
BBU
2 - 1
WBA
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SHE
3 - 0
BBU
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
LEE
3 - 2
BBU
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BBU
0 - 1
NOR
33%
26%
42%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BBU
2 - 2
BIR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |