Newcastle vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
RAY
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ALH
0 - 5
NEW
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
20%
24%
57%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
CRY
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 4
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BOU
3 - 0
EVE
36%
25%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
BOU
4 - 1
EVE
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEE
4 - 3
BOU
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 3
TOT
16%
22%
62%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
WHU
2 - 0
BOU
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |