Newcastle Town vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
NEW
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 0
STA
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GLA
1 - 3
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
LEE
0 - 1
NEW
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
ROM
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
SUT
1 - 1
ROM
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 1
BRI
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 1
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 0
BEL
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |