FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 4-3
Newcastle Town vs Evesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
BED
0 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
FRI
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 2
NEW
85%
10%
4%
|
26 | 63 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
6 - 0
NEW
67%
18%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 0
LEE
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 0
CIN
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 2
EVE
30%
25%
46%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 0
CHE
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 1
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AFT
2 - 4
EVE
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |