Newcastle Sub 23 vs Aston Villa Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
REA
1 - 4
NSB
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
BLA
2 - 0
NSB
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
NSB
0 - 1
MID
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
NSB
0 - 2
STO
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -3 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
NSB
1 - 5
SOU
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
STO
1 - 3
ASV
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
ASV
3 - 1
REA
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
ASV
6 - 1
WOL
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
BHA
3 - 0
ASV
41%
24%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |