Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 1
CCM
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WES
1 - 1
NEW
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 4
BRI
41%
26%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 2
MEL
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
WPH
5 - 1
MCI
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
WPH
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 1
WPH
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
WPH
1 - 0
WES
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 0
WPH
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |