Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 2
GOL
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 1
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
WPH
5 - 2
NEW
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 1
WPH
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
0 - 1
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
4 - 2
SYD
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
ADE
2 - 0
WPH
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
WPH
5 - 2
NEW
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |