Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
12º
10º
30
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
ADE
34%
24%
42%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 1
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CCM
2 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
WUF
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
NEW
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WES
1 - 0
PER
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
GCK
0 - 4
PER
7%
15%
78%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 1
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
MCI
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
WES
29%
25%
47%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |