Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SYD
2 - 1
NEW
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ADE
1 - 2
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 0
WPH
39%
25%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
WES
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 2
NEW
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PER
0 - 2
MEL
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 1
BRI
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 1
WES
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CCM
1 - 1
MEL
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 2
MEL
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |