Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
PER
3 - 3
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 0
CCM
37%
29%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 2
SYD
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
ADE
3 - 2
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 3
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 2
BRI
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
MEL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2006 |
CCM
1 - 2
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
MEL
4 - 0
NZK
79%
16%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
MEL
0 - 0
SYD
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |