Newcastle Benfield vs West Auckland Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
65.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Benfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
STO
0 - 3
NEW
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
STO
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
KID
10%
17%
74%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASH
10%
14%
76%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
WHI
0 - 2
NEW
50%
21%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
West Auckland Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WAS
0 - 4
WES
17%
18%
65%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
WES
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WES
1 - 5
LAN
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HEA
2 - 3
WES
12%
17%
71%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WES
2 - 3
WAS
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |