USL Championship round 25

New York RB II vs Penn FC analysis

New York RB II Penn FC
61 ELO 47
2.2% Tilt 2.9%
3435º General ELO ranking 27180º
64º Country ELO ranking 342º
ELO win probability
68.1%
New York RB II
18.9%
Draw
13.1%
Penn FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
New York RB II
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
Penn FC
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

New York RB II
Penn FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

New York RB II
New York RB II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2016
PHU
Philadelphia Union II
0 - 2
New York RB II
NYO
25%
24%
51%
60 48 12 0
28 Aug. 2016
NYO
New York RB II
2 - 0
Cincinnati
CIN
42%
28%
31%
59 62 3 +1
24 Aug. 2016
TOR
Toronto II
0 - 1
New York RB II
NYO
21%
23%
56%
59 44 15 0
20 Aug. 2016
NYO
New York RB II
1 - 0
Louisville City
LOU
47%
26%
27%
59 58 1 0
13 Aug. 2016
NYO
New York RB II
5 - 1
Orlando City II
ORL
49%
24%
27%
58 56 2 +1

Matches

Penn FC
Penn FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2016
PNN
Penn FC
2 - 2
Philadelphia Union II
PHU
56%
21%
23%
47 48 1 0
28 Aug. 2016
PNN
Penn FC
1 - 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
PIT
58%
20%
22%
47 46 1 0
15 Aug. 2016
TOR
Toronto II
0 - 1
Penn FC
PNN
41%
24%
35%
47 45 2 0
11 Aug. 2016
LOU
Louisville City
1 - 1
Penn FC
PNN
68%
19%
13%
46 58 12 +1
03 Aug. 2016
PNN
Penn FC
0 - 5
New York RB II
NYO
34%
24%
42%
47 57 10 -1